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How many games till Lebron beats Kareem in points?


2 days before Lebron James turns 37, he reached the 36K club last night. This means he's in the same thousand club as Karl Malone, so I did some calculations to see when he'll beat Kareem for points. Here it is:

So LBJ is at 36,001 and Malone is at 36,928 therefore meaning a 927 point gap between them. The Lakers have played 35 of their 82 games which leaves 47 remaining. Therefore, 927/47 = 19.7234. But Lebron is usually injury prone or will sit out a few games, so say he misses games 7 games giving us 40 games and dividing that by 927 will give us 23.175 pts per night. But this is only to tie, so if we add 1 more it becomes 20.2 pts which is definitely doable. So 38,387 (Kareem's total) - 36,929 (Lebron becoming 2nd as of the start of next season) gets us 1458. Now, Lebron said he's "on the other side of the hill" in his career so we can't guarantee he plays the 2024 year. Bronny will be in college by 2024 and most likely a one-&-done (considering they don't take out the 1-&-done rule). If they were to though, Lebron could be teaming up with Bronny in 2024 which would be a opportunity that he has to take for how rare it is. Anyways, 1458 + 1 (to beat Kareem) is 1459/82 is equaled to 17.79 pts. Once again, say Lebron plays 60 games? That gives him a 24.31 average and I think I can confirm that Lebron beats Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in scoring sometime in May of 2023 or at the beginning of the 2024 season.

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