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Western Conference Playoff Chances: 2022-2023




+1 player ($38.2m),
Cap Impact - $9.8M
  • Rudy Gobert
    Rudy Gobert
    C, 7' 1", 5.32 LEBRON
    Roll + Cut Big




+1  Wins

-2.43  MPG

-2.43  Off.

+3.35  Def.



+1 player ($33.0m),
Cap Impact - $9.4M
  • Nikola Jokic


    Nikola Jokic
    C, 6' 11", 7.8 LEBRON
    Recently Signed | Post Scorer




+7  Wins

-0.62  MPG

+2.06  Off.

+0.84  Def.



+1 player ($33.8m),
Cap Impact - $4.3M
  • Devin Booker


    Devin Booker
    SG, 6' 5", 2.7 LEBRON
    Recently Signed | Shot Creator




-3  Wins

+2.36  MPG

+1.67  Off.

-4.29  Def.



+1 player ($42.5m),
Cap Impact + $8.6M
  • Kawhi Leonard
    Kawhi Leonard
    SF, 6' 7", 4.9 LEBRON
    Shot Creator




+ 0  Wins

-0.41  MPG

+0.38  Off.

+1.82  Def.



+1 player ($48.1m),
Cap Impact + $15.0M
  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen Curry
    PG, 6' 2", 4.4 LEBRON
    Primary Ball Handler




-6  Wins

+1.09  MPG

-1.68  Off.

-1.72  Def.

These are not 1-15 rankings, but rather groupings of the chances a team makes the playoffs

The likely

  • T-Wolves: A jump from Antman, McDaniels and Nowell is likely, Rudy Gobert is a (incoming hot take) borderline superstar, Dlo will have the rim running big to benefit his perimeter based game, KAT will be unlocked defensively and will thrive offensively. The bench with Slo Mo, McLaughlin, Prince, Fobres, Naz and Nowell will be higher quality, I will be disappointed to not see this team reach 60 wins outside of crippling health doing them in.

  • Suns: Well-oiled machine in the regular season that gets win after win after win, shouldn't be no different this year unless Chris Paul dramatically declines in production.

  • Nuggets: Jokic has a better supporting cast than last year theoretically given the defense should be above average and the offense can only get better from here, I'm penciling them in as team making the playoffs as of today.

  • Clippers: While I don't see them as a true title threat currently, there is no reason they can't make the playoffs with Kawhi Leonard coming back, John Wall being added and the incredible bench depth the Clippers possess. However, Ivica Zubac is literally their only competent big body on the entire team, he has to stay durable for them to make the top six with relative ease.

  • Warriors: When Steph, Draymond and Klay all play together at the same time in a season, they've never missed the playoffs. With GPII, Bjelica and Porter Jr leaving in FA to be replaced by JaMychal and DiVenchenzo, the bench depth has taken a hit, so the trio of Kuminga, Moody and Wiseman have to step up more this season.

  • Grizzlies: Losing De'Anthony Melton and Kyle Anderson hurt the bench depth and JJJ is going to be out for at least a month due to foot surgery, this will make the road to the playoffs a little tougher challenge than last year. However, I see the Grizzlies likely making the playoffs still as they're a deep team with a quality defense and offensive cornerstone in Ja Morant.

In the hunt

  • Kings: Beautiful basketball is about to hit the hardwood in Sac Town spearheaded by the talented yet equally unselfish Domantas Sabonis who is supported with skilled, smart and ego-less players with nothing to lose as their goal is to bring back playoff basketball to the Sacremento Kings. The ball movement, player movement and pace of play will be a incredible sight to see, I expect them to turn lots of heads this upcoming season as an above average offense. If the defense is even average, expect them to make a real run at a top 8 seed in the West.

  • Lakers: LeBron+AD being healthy at least gives them a chance, but the supporting cast outside of Patrick Beverely and Austin Reaves is laughable. I see their chances as extremely low to make the playoffs, but I would be a fool to count them out completely since they do have two top 10 players when healthy.

  • Mavericks: Losing Jalen Brunson will hurt the Mavs this upcoming season and in particular post-season if they make it as now they're down to just Luka and Dinwiddie as the ball handlers. This blunts their would-be offensive upgrades in trading for Christian Wood and Tim Hardaway Jr coming back from injury, net neutral at best in a conference that got more stacked at the top. However, if I have to place my money on if they'll be in the playoffs, I'm going with yes.

  • Pelicans: Offensive firepower galore, but a defense that has been bandaged up with hairy old tape by Alvarado+Nance Jr+Herb likely doesn't get them to a guarantee playoff spot in this stacked Western Conference. However, the chances of them missing the playoffs are still fairly low, they're still one of the five best offensive teams going into next season, that gives them a chance assuming the hairy old tape stays in place long enough.

  • T-Blazers: A healthy Damian Lillard with competent defenders and scorers would normally be a lock for the playoffs, but given the quality bench players outside of Simons (GPII or Nassir should start) is putrid, in particular, Drew Eubanks as Nurkic's backup. The supporting cast around Dame isn't anything to write much about, I don't see them as a lock this season. Still, can't count them out completely, Dame Lillard pulls off remarkable carry jobs consistently.

Tank commanders, report!

  • Jazz: This is tank commander Sexton, we're ready to go!

  • Thunder: This is tank commander Giddey, we're ready to go!

  • Rockets: This is tank commander Green, we're ready to go!

  • Spurs: This is tank commander Johnson, we're ready to go!