Last Ranking:

Trend: Down

Prospect Tier:

Projected NBA rookie role:

Projected NBA position:

Projected Rookie Statline (Pts, Reb, Ast, Blk/Stl):

Strengths:

Weakness:

Shades of/comp:

Best outcome:

mid outcome:

worst outcome:

GSW Position: SG/SF

Strengths: confident shooter, catch and shoot 3pt, 3pt shooter in general , likes to pass in the passing lanes, or pull up for a jumper, defends guard well with his wingspan and moving feet, does not turnover the ball much, close to the paint he takes his time on if he is goes to pass make a jumper or floater, can playoff ball due to his shooting and on ball if needed to at times

Weakness: some of his shot selection is not the best it can be (has to know when to make that extra pass), free throws % has went down a little, rarely goes inside to get a bucket, can handle the ball at times but not his strong suit, rebounding can be better but is more of a perimeter guy

Pros:

• Long-range hits often

• effort upside uses pick and rolls well

• positive court vision leads to sexy passes and low turnovers

• quick on transition

Cons:

• Play determined by momentum

• effort floor

• small for height and position

• attacks rim weakly *The defense holds up until he plays great kids

Notes: Seems to have some struggles at Kentucky but could translate to the league.

Ceiling/Comp: Floor/Comp: Draft Range:

----Physicals---- Height: Weight: Wingspan: Injury Concerns:

----Eye Test---- Pro's:

• Cons:

----Stats---- PPG: RPG: APG: SPG: BPG: FG%: 3FG%: TOPG:

Strengths:

• Good size for an NBA wing. Measured 6 feet 4.75 without shoes at the 2024 combine and paired that with a 6-foot-11.25 wingspan. Very much looks the part. Has the kind of flexibility the NBA looks for in its wings. Good at opening his hips on drives and playing with patience. Has some lateral quickness and an OK first step.

• It's all about his ability to create offense for his team. He's a microwave scorer through and through. Does a good job pressuring the defense and getting out on the break early. Will sprint out to the 3-point line to find an easy shot. Great at spacing the floor for his drivers from distance, because it's curtains if you leave him open on the break. Drilled 20 of his 47 attempts from 3 this year in transition.

• Most of his value comes from shooting. Robinson can fire at volume from distance. Attempted nearly seven 3s per game during his fourth and fifth seasons. Drilled 38.9% from 3 this year off the catch and 37.6% overall. Very simple, quiet mechanics. Has good shot prep. Always ready to fire along the 3-point line. Good weight transfer and a very smooth, clean release. Also has serious range. Hit 30 3s from beyond 25 feet as a fourth-year player and 19 as a fifth-year player. Even though the percentages aren't massive, there's every reason to buy Robinson as a good shooter long term.

• The rest of his offensive game makes sense with the construct of his floor-spacing and shooting. Everything plays off his ability to shoot off the catch. Good at using the threat of his jumper to attack closeouts. Will hit relocation shots off heavy closeouts from 3. Likes to get into that midrange area and fire. Takes more halfcourt shots from the midrange than he does at the rim. Doesn't elevate a ton but has a nice, high release point on these shots, which makes them harder to contest. Made 43.4% of his pull-up midrange shots as a fourth-year player and 55% of his limited attempts as a senior. Not particularly great as a driver into the paint but picks his spots well. Doesn't get a ton of bounce here but uses his length to extend well and create angles at the rim.

• He improved as a passer and overall decision-maker this year. You're never going to confuse him with someone who makes advanced reads regularly, but he did a good job making quick decisions more consistently. Had a couple of solid drive-and-kick possessions. Averaged 1.7 assists versus 0.9 turnovers.

• Defensively, Robinson can stay in front of his man in isolation situations. Has good length and solid footwork to slide his feet. Better at defending guards than he is wings. At BYU, Pope often used him at the point of attack as opposed to off the ball. Robinson was good there until he ran into a screen, by and large. Not going to be a difference maker on defense and could end up being a negative unless he ups his physicality, but he has a chance, with his length, to hit a neutral place.

Areas for Improvement:

• He's a flexible athlete but not a particularly explosive one. Doesn't have much vertical pop. Has never been a threat to finish above the rim. His first step or stride isn't quick, either.

• Also isn't all that strong. Doesn't play a physical brand of basketball. Struggles to deal with contact on the perimeter as a ballhandler and on defense. Mostly is just a perimeter player at this point of his career, and I mean that in terms of staying out on the perimeter as opposed to trying to get paint touches and play in the dirty areas of the court.

• Doesn't take many easy shots unless they're wide-open, catch-and-shoot 3s. Robinson's shot takes a good amount of time to get off. Has a very substantial ball dip. That can lead to him getting contested too often. Gets the shot off at volume but needs to work on tightening that dip to reduce the number of contests he's forced into and thus improve his percentage. Also leads to several 3s from a more significant distance than is necessary.

• When he gets closed out on, the percentage dips pretty substantially. Made just 29.2% of his pull-up 3s during his fourth year. Was only 32.8% on his guarded catch-and-shoot 3s this year. Doesn't generate much in the way of separation, then has that longer gather into the shot. Also doesn't elevate high into the shot. Much more comfortable taking a set shot.

• That lack of separation also extends to his ability to get to the rim. Struggles to get to the basket and generate shots. Rarely gets paint touches. Took only 1.3 shots at the rim in half-court settings during his fourth year and 1.5 during his fifth year. Was effective when he got there as a fourth-year player, but that effectiveness dropped to about 50% this season. Actually made under half of his half-court layups, too.

• Has a functional handle within his role but is not much of a true shot creator. You see this with his passing, as well. Doesn't make plays for others often. Averaged 1.3 assists per game as a fourth-year player and 1.7 per game this year. Doesn't collapse the defense regularly. Doesn't separate and open up passing angles by forcing a help defender. Not an unwilling passer but takes a lot of shots from that midrange area that aren't all that efficient as opposed to re-setting the offense or making a dangerous pass.

• Those who tend to make it in the microwave role have more on-ball juice to create their own shot than what Robinson has displayed. Needs to get more flexible with his handle. But it's hard to believe that will happen given his age. Robinson hasn't made shots off screens, either. Only hit five of 22 attempts in that respect this year.

• Defensively, Robinson isn't particularly disruptive given his length. He's not aggressive in trying to close down space against his man. He struggles to navigate ball screens or off-ball screens. Goes under far too regularly and gives up his space. Regularly gets caught in contact with his defender and can't use his length to recover well enough. Instead of navigating and getting around, it's more like he's trying to avoid contact. Also gets in the mess of bodies too often, resulting in peel switches. Needs to improve the routes he takes around screens in the play and stay attached. Off the ball, he can sometimes also get caught and end up over-helping.

Summary:

Robinson can really shoot it, and that's a valuable skill. He gets out on the break and fires from distance just as well as he nails them from 25 feet and beyond in spot-up situations. I just wish he could do anything else particularly effectively. If I thought his he had a better chance to defend, I'd have him as a higher-end two-way guy. But I'm skeptical of that, and I'm skeptical of his overall processing of the game on the court, given his defensive rotations and decision-making as a passer. We're getting into the zone now where Robinson would probably be a last resort for me as a two-way contract guy. But I wouldn't blame a team for giving him one because of the shot.