Tier 1 - Ceiling:
All-Star, 3PM & 3PT% NBA League Leader
Nationality
American
Draft Day Age
19.99
Wingspan
6'3
Avg ranking (top 6 NBA draft sites) 12.2
My Jan Ranking 4 Stats Reed Sheppard shot 49.4% (!!!!) on #NBA range threes last season… (81 attempts)
He’d be the 1st first round draft pick in the past 35 years to shoot over 50% from the collegiate three point line. @BradeauxNBA
Feel like Reed Sheppard's ability to win in the mid-range has been under discussed. Decelerates and flows from dribble to shot super quickly, and has body control to hit tough leaners. 52.8% on off-the-dribble twos (19/36) this past year.
More research Reed is a special talent. He is, in fact, the straw that stirs the drink. When he’s is doubled or chased, he passes the ball and gets his teammates involved. When he is guarded 1-on-1, he can score in loads.”
Tony Pietrowski Head Coach - head coach of Corbin High
College Stats: 12.5 pts 4.5 asts 4.1 rebs 2.5 steals (1st in last 5 years for Freshmen) 52.1% 3PT (1st in last 5 years for Freshmen) 69.9% TS (2nd in last 5 years for Freshmen, behind Zion Williamson) 68.4% eFG (3rd in last 5 years for Freshmen, behind Zion and Chet Holmgren.)
AST% - (19th in the last 5 years for Freshmen) STL% - (1st in the last 5 years for Freshmen) OBPM - (10th in the last 5 years for Freshmen) DBPM - (8th in the last 5 years for Freshmen)
BPM - (5th in the last 5 years for Freshmen, behind Zion Williamson, Chet Holmgren, Evan Mobley, and Brandon Miller but above Jabari Smith Jr., Dereck Lively, Tyrese Haliburton, Cade Cunningham, and Scottie Barnes.
Filtering out low games and attempts) List of Freshmen and Sophomores in NCAA history who averaged at least 50% 3PT 2.5 steals per game
Reed Sheppard (Freshmen)
List of Freshmen and Sophomores in NCAA history who averaged at least 40% 3PT 2.5 steals per game 60% eFG
Reed Sheppard (Freshmen) - 52.1% 3PT & 68.4% eFG
Tyrese Haliburton (Sophomore) - 41.9% 3PT & 61.1% eFG
One thing about his steals per game/steal rate is that I think it will translate. Reed averaged 4.5 steals his senior year before college while also shooting 40% from three. He's had a knack for reading offenses and hitting shots. He's a legitimate two way player to some degree.
By the way, Reed Sheppard achieved all of this while being the 3rd or 4th guard off the bench at Kentucky. In the minutes, he came into the game, he legitimately took over games with his shooting, and creation. I'll show more of this in film review.
Reed Sheppard, despite being 5th in the freshmen talent lineup and doubted since high school, emerged as the top player. That's impressive. That reminds me a lot of players who had been doubted by scouts and rankings and yet was the diamond in the rough (Steph Curry, Alpi Sengun) Source: @MittyNBA
Sheppard’s amazing numbers don’t end there. His stats on the other end of the court were arguably even more impressive. His steal rate was absurdly high, he blocked shots by the bushel and he also rebounded really well — all while posting a low foul rate.
Just looking at the numbers, Sheppard has a convincing argument that he should be a top five pick in this draft. On paper, he looks like a dead-eye shooter who will also be a playmaker on the defensive end of the court.
Sheppard’s amazing numbers don’t end there. His stats on the other end of the court were arguably even more impressive. His steal rate was absurdly high, he blocked shots by the bushel and he also rebounded really well — all while posting a low foul rate.
Just looking at the numbers, Sheppard has a convincing argument that he should be a top five pick in this draft. On paper, he looks like a dead-eye shooter who will also be a playmaker on the defensive end of the court.
At 6-foot-2 with a wingspan of 6-foot-3, it appears likely that Sheppard will need to be a point guard in order to find success in the league. Unfortunately, judging him against current NBA point guards, he’s below average as a ball-handler and average as a passer. Sheppard would need to improve quite a bit in both categories to become a full-time point guard at the next level. Defensively, it’s highly questionable whether he has the lateral quickness to stick with point guards.
Best Case - Shades of/
Coby White
Derrick White
Mark Price
Stats:
26.0 MPG
11.9 PPG
74.1 TS% on 7.0 FGA
53.6 3PT% on 4.0 FGA
87.1 FT% on 2.2 FTA
9.0 TRB%
24.0 AST%
5.1 STL%
3.4 BLK%
15.1 TO%
17.3 USG%
140.2 ORTG
92.8 *DRTG
14.3 BPM