Floor: Solidified rotation player
Bullseye: Secondary starter, 6th man
Ceiling: Core starter, top 15 movement shooter in NBA, mid-high-volume scorer
Pass - Grade: 77
Notes: Mathurin's passing improved substantially from his freshman year at Arizona to his sophomore year. Mathurin is a much better passer than he is able to consistently display because his ball handling ability holds him back significantly. Mathurin began to understand how his gravity could open opportunities for others and take pressure off of himself as he reached the next level as a scorer:
Assists per game
First 11 games: 1.8
Last 26 games: 2.8
Turnovers per game
First 11 games: 3.4
Last 26 games: 1.7
Mathurin has shown he can hit bigs on the in creative and versatile ways, has good timing on his passes, puts zip on his passes, can pass on the move, and can see over the defense. Mathurin showed he can even throw live dribble passes as well as hook passes with both hands. Mathurin's court mapping is solid, but his tunnel vision/ball handling get in his way far too often. Mathurin misses easy windows and open shooters due to his poor ball control. Mathurin's role as a ball-handler will likely decrease in his first few NBA seasons, suggesting that he has a good chance to be a solid passer in his role within the flow of an NBA offense. Mathurin is a very solid PnR passer but his ball-handling is too poor to facilitate PnRs. Mathurin was solid when running spread PnR. Mathurin's lack of ball-handling prevents him from being able to manipulate defenses, and therefore from ever becoming a next level passer. While there has been substantial improvement from him in this area, his ceiling has firm lid on it unless his ball-handling takes a very drastic leap. Mathurin is best at hitting bigs for dump offs, and showed flashes of being able to hit shooters on his drives. His poise/control on his drives was not at a level where he will be able to make reliable decisions consistently. Mathurin has solid vision and deliveries but has significant limitations as a passer.
Dribble - Grade: 67
Notes: Mathurin's ball-handling ability is bad. Mathurin doesn't have much twitch, has a poor first step for the level of athlete he is, has no real go-to moves, has not shown an ability to change speeds, and is just very rigid with the ball in his hands. Mathurin has very poor ball control on his drives, and doesn't have great footwork either. Mathurin is strictly a one move guy, and will be this way in the NBA for the foreseeable future. Mathurin's ball-handling will force him to play strictly off the ball for a very long time, and it is extremely unlikely Mathurin will ever be able to reach a secondary playmaker status. Mathurin's handle is reminiscent of Ben McLemore coming out of Kansas. Mathurin's lack of control and inability to change pace completely prevents him from being able to attack downhill despite being an awesome athlete and having tremendous shooting gravity. Mathurin just lacks the ability to create any real advantages using his ball-handling. Mathurin also lacks physicality on his drives, making it hard to envision any path to for him to becoming a high-level slasher in the NBA. His open court ball-handling is also very poor. His ball control has undoubtedly improved from last season, when he struggled to simply bring the ball up the court. Mathurin has a very long way to go as ball-handler, especially for a guard. The first step for Mathurin needs to be getting to a point where he can use his handle to create positive situations when attacking closeouts. The next step may be working on PnR situations as the ball-handler. Mathurin's shooting, passing, and explosiveness are at a level where he could be a solid PnR player if he just becomes competent as a PnR handler. If Mathurin can learn how to put defenders in jail and just display some minor change of pace abilities then he would be able to be at least neutral as a PnR ball-handler, which would be important in late shot clock type situations. Mathurin's poor handle puts a significant cap on his potential to become a great NBA scorer and his overall ceiling as a player.
3pt shooting - Grade: 90
Notes: Mathurin may be the best traditional running off screens movement shooter in the draft. Mathurin is elite at coming off screens and rising up with a high release point. Mathurin has beautiful shot mechanics, with an elite ability to stay square in the air with his feet either fading or being off balance. Mathurin is a great fading shooter, and has a nice side-step and step-back that will translate nicely to the NBA. Mathurin shot 37% on 6.1 attempts. Mathurin is a versatile 3pt shooter, being able to shoot off the catch and dribble in any situation. Mathurin's going to have to further increase his volume and his ability to get open off the ball in order for him to reach reliable starter status in the NBA, otherwise he doesn't provide enough offensive value. Mathurin uses his athleticism when shooting off the dribble rather than actual moves to get open. His elevation and release point are so high, and Mathurin is a good shooter even with a hand in his face. Mathurin took a very large percentage of his threes from above the break and the top of the key. 121/316 on threes in his 2 year career.
Mid-range shooting - Grade: 75
Notes: Mathurin shot 18/57 on mid-range jumpers this season, got for 31.5%. These were usually forced, inefficient looks that stemmed from Mathurin's inability to create going downhill. Mathurin has no real go-to mid-range shots. Mathurin could benefit from adding a 1 dribble pull up when attacking closeouts.
Finishing - Grade: 84
Notes: Mathurin got to the rim at a solid volume and was efficient when he got there, going 114/196 (58%) at the rim this season. Mathurin got the majority of these looks as a cutter, in transition, and capitalizing on defense breakdowns. Mathurin being able to get to high and efficient volume at the rim despite his downhill struggles is a very encouraging sign when projecting his NBA scoring profile. Mathurin's ability to move off the ball is great, and he maximizes on his athleticism as a finisher and being creative in his downhill opportunities. Mathurin can take off from super far, and is lethal when he is given space. In all situations where Mathurin doesn't have to beat a POA defender off the dribble, he can maximize his ability to get to and finish at the rim. Mathurin has great body control when finishing at the rim, and great adaptability when finishing in traffic. Mathurin is great at utilizing his hang time and length to find angles to finish in tough situations. Mathurin can finish amongst the trees, and his off-ball shooting gravity will allow him to get plenty of opportunities at the rim as a cutter. Mathurin's inability to get to the rim without his teammates help isn't ideal, but his explosiveness and body control will allow him to be a solid finisher in the NBA when the opportunities arise.
Off-ball playmaking - Grade: 90
Notes: Mathurin is awesome off the ball. Mathurin thrives running off screens and cutting. Arizona ran a lot of off-ball sets for him, it is a bit unclear how opportunistic of a cutter he is on his merit but he showed enough to suggest he is an opportunistic cutter at times. Mathurin's elite running off the ball, and it results in a ton of good things for himself and his team's offense.
Offensive rebounding - Grade: 82
Notes: Mathurin was an opportunistic offensive rebounder, always hoping for an opportunity to crash for a put-back dunk. Mathurin's athleticism and motor allowed him to get a 1.4 OREB this season, very solid for his size and position.
Offensive Summary: 86
Mathurin has significant limitations on the offensive end, but has the potential to be a superstar in his role. Mathurin's athleticism and movement shooting combination could result in him being one of the more valuable off-ball guards in the NBA. Mathurin should not be counted on for any ball-handling or isolation responsibilities for the early years of his career, at least. Mathurin is going to be in a complimentary role, flying off screens and shooting threes at high volume while finding ways to get looks in the paint a few times a game. His gravity, shooting, and athleticism will be valuable to any NBA offense. Mathurin's major lapses as a ball-handler and lack of a mid-range game significantly cap his potential to ever become a reliable playmaker or go-to scorer. Mathurin's game goes south when he's forced to play outside the confines of himself, and he needs to be in a situation where this isn't required or expected of him. Mathurin projects to be a more athletic version of a Max Strus, Malik Beasley, or Gary Trent - which would be a very valuable player who certainly has a solidified role on contending teams in today's NBA.
Engagement - Grade: 73
Notes: Mathurin's defensive engagement was inconsistent and mostly poor. Mathurin focused enough to play solid defense in big time matchups or when he felt his team needed a stop, but his normal game-to-game possession-to-possession engagement on defense was not good. Hopefully this can change when his offensive role in the NBA is significantly decreased and use much more mental and physical energy on the defensive end of the floor.
Containment - Grade: 74
Notes: Mathurin has shown that he has the capability to strap up as a POA defender situationally - but his habits right now are bad. Mathurin often gives up way to much space, allowing himself to be screened with ease. Mathurin often does not apply nearly as much pressure on the ball as he should be. Mathurin also struggles with getting back into the play once he's beat, does not have a knack for rearview contests. A lot of the time, Mathurin does not even make multiple efforts to get back into the play - dies on screens often. Gets caught sleeping/leaning on the ball regularly. Mathurin has the tools to become a consistent POA defender in the NBA, but has a lot of work to do before he could possibly get there. Will likely be a minus as a POA defender in the NBA for the first few years of his career at least.
Team Defense - Grade: 67
Notes: Mathurin's team defense is very bad. Mathurin's often late on closeouts, is unaggressive in the passing lanes, and is prone to miscommunications. Mathurin is always reluctant or doesn't stick his nose into physical situations, often totally ignores his role as the help defender. Mathurin's intensity and effort off the ball can be very alarming at times. This is a big concern for him defensively, just a textbook bad team defender on nearly all accounts.
Rim Protection - Grade: 65
Notes: Mathurin had just 12 blocks total in his two year college career, which is very bad for a player with his athleticism and length. Mathurin does not put himself in position to contest shots, will settle for a light contest on the perimeter and at the rim.
Playmaking - Grade: 75
Notes: Mathurin was able to get a steal a game this year, but Mathurin is not a plus in the stocks department. Mathurin isn't aggressive in the passing lanes, and usually sticks his nose out most in transition.
Versatility - Grade: 68
Notes: Mathurin's defensive role needs to be the one of a chaser. Mathurin projects to be a lot like Buddy Hield on defense, who has now actually become one of the better off-ball screener navigators on defense in the league since the only role he can play somewhat effectively on defense is the role of a chaser. Mathurin may be able to check smaller threes too.
Defensive Rebounding - Grade: 78
Notes: Mathurin's 5.6 rebounds per game might overate Mathurin as a rebounder. Mathurin has a decent motor crashing the glass, but he doesn't like to stick his nose in often. Mathurin likes to soar and rise up to get uncontested rebounds, and he does crash often, but there are a solid amount of plays where Mathurin steers clear of the glass because of a crowded paint.
Defensive Summary: 72
Notes: Mathurin is bad defender in all aspects. Mathurin has shown flashes of motor and POA prowess, but is ultimately just bad at defense. His effort, intensity, engagement, activity, and awareness are all consistently poor. Mathurin's strength, frame, and athleticism along with an appearance of a real will to compete offer signs of hope. Hopefully Mathurin is just behind the learning curve as a defender and had to bear so much of the offensive load for Arizona last season that he didn't have the consistent mental/physical energy to bring it on defense. If this is who Mathurin is on defense, his ceiling is being an elite chaser/off ball screen navigator. Mathurin is a guy who you would want to be able to guard the opposing team's best guard, but he is far from that. Mathurin's lack of ball-handling/playmaking mean he needs to play next to a true offensive initiator, and the majority of offensive initiators in the NBA at the point guard spot prefer to not guard the opposing team's best guard. His ideal landing spot is in between two plus defender at the 1 and the 3, one of which is a great ball-handler on offense. That's a pretty specific role to slot in someone who should be way more versatile considering their natural athletic gifts, size, and shooting ability. Mathurin will need to a take a massive leap in his defense or playmaking to warrant his selection in the top 7 of this draft.
Functional Athleticism: 93
Good lateral mobility