Floor: Secondary scoring/playmaking starter
Bullseye: fringe all-star, high volume and usage scorer/offensive initiator
Ceiling: multiple time All star, perennial top 15 scorer in NBA
Pass - Grade: 87
Notes: Banchero is an elite passer for his position, and a great passer in general. Banchero is a great outlet passer, and a phenomenal passer off the bounce. He has tremendous feel as a passer. Panchero runs the break and throws lobs in transition, hits open shooters off the drive and out of the post, and hits guys in positions to score. His passing versatility was limited at Duke, and there are way more situations where his passing can be utilized than we've such as on the short in PnR, out of DHOs, and as a PnR ball handler himself. Banchero's ability to hit cutters and shooters once he has already began his drive or even left his feet is very impressive. Paolo is a good passer out doubles and stunts, and welcomes the help because of this. Paolo can fire off passes with either hand. Paolo is not a very good passer within the flow of an offense. When there are open players with a scoring opportunity Paolo finds them with grace, but his passing does typically does not benefit the fluidity of an offense directly. Banchero struggles to pass within the flow of an offense, but this stems from ball stopping and movement issues more so than Banchero's ability as a passer. Banchero also was turnover prone, often trying to force passes through tight windows or throwing an errant pass after being forced into picking up his dribble.
Dribble - Grade: 88
Notes: Banchero's an elite ball handler for his size. He is incredibly fluid, and has real shiftiness and shake. Handle is under control, and he is poised even when going full speed in transition. Has legitimate guard skills, and has a deep bag of open court moves highlighted by hesitations, tweens, crosses, and behind the backs. His handle is incredibly smooth, and it's paired with elite footwork. His body movement, handle, and footwork are perfectly aligned resulted in beautiful displays of open floor ball-handling and perfectly coordinated drives. Loves to dribble into post-ups. He's going to thrive bringing the ball up in the NBA, and will be able to get to the rim or post with ease. Thrives as a transition ball-handler. While his handle is very fluid, it doesn't create much space for him. His handle functions more so to get him to his spot to shoot over a defender, rather than his handle actually creating the space. Loves to show off his handle with unnecessarily long size-ups, often resulting in his teammates to ball watch. Has a really good functional handle, allowing him to get to his spots. His handle thrives in the open floor and in 1 on 1 situations, but struggles when a second defender is shown.
3pt shooting - Grade: 74
Notes: 33.8% on just 3.3 attempts per game. Volume needs to increase at next level, along with consistency. Mechanics and fluidity waiver too much. There are times where his shot is one fluid motion, and others where there is a small hitch and it's a 2 step shot. Confidence level clearly waived too. Shot it best from the corners, but did so on low volume. Banchero shot it just 73% the line this season too. Banchero has good touch, but it's not enough to confidently project him as a shooter. It's likely Banchero's shooting follows the same pattern as it has throughout his career - inconsistency across the board. Banchero should be at a place where he takes all the open he catch and shoot looks he gets, and he showed a willingness to take pull-up threes as well. Banchero is consistently square to the basket on his attempts, and his form is not broken even though it is inconsistent. Banchero has proven there is a legitimate possibility he becomes a solid 3 point shooter in the NBA, but not enough so to project it.
Mid-range shooting - Grade: 85
Notes: Banchero is a good mid-range shooter, and takes mid-range attempts at a high volume. Banchero shot 45% on long twos this season, many of which were off the dribble. This provides more hope that Banchero may be able to extend his range. Banchero shoots mid-range out of isolations, and when facing up out of the post. Also has a really nice post-fade. Banchero took mid-range shots at a high clip from all areas of the floor, it is a big and solidified part of his offensive portfolio. Often settles for the mid-range when the defense makes it difficult to get a paint touch. Banchero has a habbit of unnecessarily picking up his dribble in the mid-range area, and will often force up a bad shot when this occurs. Banchero is a good mid-range shooter, but often has poor shot selection from this area of the floor. Banchero should be taking mid-range shots, but needs to cut the low-percentage contested fade out.
Finishing - Grade: 88
Notes: Banchero shot 64% at the rim this season. Banchero is a great post player, having a blend of high level strength and touch paired with elite footwork. Banchero has a great blend of finesse and strength on finishes. Is able to finish off one or two, and is always poised in his gather and explosion to the rim. His gathers are very impressive, as he methodically avoids or creates contact depending on the matchup/situation. He is great at decelerating on downhill finishes, something that will be very valuable in the NBA. Can't really finish with his left, will force a right hand finish if needed.
Off-ball playmaking - Grade: 68
Notes: Banchero's off ball presence is poor. Banchero is often ball watching if he's not directly involved in an action. Is inconsistent in his screen setting. His inconsistent shot prohibits him from being a true spacer. He's an opportunistic cutter and flasher, but doesn't cut just to cut. Can stagnate the offense when the ball is not in his hands. Banchero is ineffective without the ball in his hands for the most part.
Offensive rebounding - Grade: 82
Notes: Banchero is a solid offensive rebounder, and looks like a great offensive rebounder at times. His coordination and positioning are good, but his motor waivers preventing him from being a consistently good offensive rebounder. Is great at put-backs when he does get the board.
Offensive Summary: 90
Banchero's offensive arsenal combined with his size is incredibly rare, and is tailer-made for today's NBA. As a scorer he has shown an ability to dropstep, spin right and left, flashed step back/pull up/C&S 3s, post fade on either block in both directions, floater, euro step, finish lobs, and attack closeouts. With that being said, what Banchero did best and the most at Duke will not at be what is asked of him in the NBA. Banchero lived in the mid-range and the post, which has to change. Those areas can still be staples of his game, but he his primary form of attack needs to be from the perimeter. He needs to get all the way to the rim more, and he needs to shoot more threes and at a respectable clip. As a passer and playmaker he has shown he can run the break, throw lobs, drive and kick, dump off to the big in dunkers spot, and hit cutters. His offensive ceiling is crazy high and being such a versatile scorer and playmaker at his age, size, and frame is unprecedented. I do have legitimate concerns about Banchero on the offensive end of the floor, aside from his inconsistent jumper and poor shot selection. Maximizing Banchero is not as easy of a task at it may seem. Banchero's tendency to be a 0 on offense when he is not involved in an action and his tendency to stop the ball will be detrimental to his teams' offense natural flow. Banchero has a very long way to go as a team offensive player. Banchero will likely get less post touches in the NBA than in college, and there is a good chance he is stuck in the corner if he's not screening or handling the ball. Banchero has no role player habits on the offensive end, which needs to change if he is going to contribute to winning. Even if Banchero is given the keys to the offense, has a crazy high usage rate, and is the primary initiator of a team his inability to play within a team offense will show in close and competitive games. These issues that young Rudy Gay, Carmelo, Jeff Green, Julius Randle and other high post ball dominant players have struggled with are the exact issues that will handicap Banchero. Banchero has great vision but that does not mean he has a great IQ. His shot selection combined with his time-per-touch may result in his teammates ball watching sooner rather than later. Banchero not being a good C&S three point shooter yet and not moving without the ball are serious issues. The talent and unteachable traits are there, and with his advanced handle and passing ability there is more enough to value Banchero as an elite prospect who can change a franchise overnight. While he may change a franchise overnight, I believe there will be a longer transition to winning basketball with Banchero than other similar prospects of his stature. Look for Banchero to be 15 & 7 & 3 year 1 at worst.
Engagement - Grade: 63
Notes: Banchero's key issue on defense is engagement. His engagement was very poor for the large majority of the season. It did a full 180 in close and big games, showing he is capable of being fully locked in on that end of the floor. Banchero's conditioning and sweat condition may be contributing factors to this, but Banchero's motor has never been consistently good either. Banchero's defensive engagement is a major issue and there is no reason to believe this will magically turn around in the NBA. However, with a good structure/system/coaching this is definitely fixable over time.
Containment - Grade: 83
Notes: Banchero is a very capable 1 on 1 defender on the perimeter and in the post. Banchero has respectable lateral movement, great core strength, and a good center of gravity. He is good at contesting jump shots on the perimeter in isolation situations. Good at cutting off guards on drives to the rim at the last second. Has a knack for showing and taking away driving lanes. Good at forcing guys into help or to their weak hand. Doesn't bite on hesitations and dribble moves often. Does struggle to stay with the super quick and shifty guards, but is still solid at making them settle for jumpers even when he gets beat. Much, much better at defender on switches than closeouts. Good north-south defender, struggles more defending east- west. Should be able to be a plus in a switchable scheme.
Team Defense - Grade: 74
Notes: Grading Banchero in this area is somewhat difficult since he has shown the ability to be a really good team defender, but ultimately was far too inconsistent to give him the benefit of the doubt. Definitely is not a 50/50 ball, sacrifice your body guy in a normal regular season. With the monotony that the NBA regular season can present, I have major concerns about Banchero's ability to hold his own as a team defender in the NBA. There were many times where Banchero just wouldn't rotate from the weak side, and would half-ass contests and closeouts on rotations to the perimeter. Lost track of his man on a regular basis. May struggle as a communicator on defense too.
Rim Protection - Grade: 76
Notes: When Banchero actually rotated to contest shots at the rim, he was actually very effective. He does a great job at staying vertical, and has really good timing on his contests. He showed the ability to swallow up drives completely as the rotating rim protector. This was something that did not happen on a regular basis because of his engagement issues, but he definitely showed the ability to be a really good help rim protector at times. Almost averaged a block a game, usually getting at least from isolation or rotating as the help. He is really good at staying on top of the defender in the paint. When engaged, his rim protection ability is very similar to Jabari Smith - vertical, absorbs contact, swallows players, forces uncomfortable angles, and is very physical. The fact that he has proven the ability to do this is very encouraging.
Playmaking - Grade: 85
Notes: Banchero averaged 2 stocks a game. Banchero has great timing on his reaches, and is a pretty good gambler in the passing lanes. Has good timing on his contests often resulting in blocks. If Banchero was able to be active and engaged more, he could really be a stocks machine.
Versatility - Grade: 77
Notes: Banchero can't play the 5 and is a poor PnR defender as of now, so that limits his defensive versatility. He should start by guarding 4s exclusively since he has such a big learning curve for team defense, but I expect him to hold his own on switches at a solid rate.
Defensive Rebounding - Grade: 83
Notes: If Banchero had a consistent motor, he would be a monster rebounder. His coordination and strength are elite, and he is able to gain solid positioning on a very high percentage of his boxouts. He crashes at a solid rate, even though the substance of his crashes waivers. Banchero doesn't struggle to keep guys behind him, and is a overall a very solid rebounder.
Defensive Summary: 76
Notes: Banchero is not by any means a broken defender. He has proven he has the ability to hold his own on switches, be a good help defender and rotating rim protector, has shown he has off-ball awareness, has displayed coordinated physicality, and that he can pile up stocks. While he can do all of these things on defense, he often doesn't. The reasons for that may be conditioning, his sweat syndrome, offensive load, in-game load management, inconsistent attentiveness and activity, and lack of a consistent motor. His game to game defense is almost certainly going to waiver, but it is likely that he shows a solid amount of flashes early on as well. The fact that Banchero has already proven he has the capabilities to potentially be a plus on defense is very important and provides a substantial amount of hope for what he will be able to do on the defensive end in the NBA. It is going to be a huge uphill battle to get him near a consistent level, and it is something that is going to require constant attention and reinforcement from his coaching staff along with significant strides in his stamina and conditioning. Banchero played 33 mpg at Duke, in a slow paced offense and in a defense that required him to move and be active much less than an NBA defense will. In an 82 game season with a quick pace and more movement required from him on defense, it is likely he will have a very rough first year on defense. His usage rate will most likely be lower than it was at Duke, but he is assured to be a significant part of his team's offense regardless. It is difficult to imagine Banchero being able to handle a large offensive load and being a consistent defender throughout a NBA playoff series. Banchero will also only be just 19 at the start of his rookie year, and there is a pretty solid chance he gets to where he needs to be even if it takes him 5+ years (where he will only be 24). Banchero's defense has real, legitimate concerns but the fact he's proven to be more than capable on that side of the ball provides hope when projecting his defensive ceiling. Banchero's ceiling/floor on defense is a very wide range, and his role/system/team/staff will play an enormous factor in his defensive production. Wiggins was a much better defender in college than Banchero, but the defensive 180 Wiggins made from Minny to GSW is one that could be telling of Banchero's defensive future. Wiggins always had the physical and mental capabilities of being a good defender, but was in the wrong system/culture and had too large of an offensive load. In GSW, Wiggins role and system were perfect for him to thrive as a defender along with having a great staff/team around him. Banchero's in a very similar boat that Wiggins was in, and the team that selects him needs to plan around that accordingly.
No official combine measurements.
Functional Athleticism: 86
Great mobility for size
Great open court speed
Solid lateral movement
Ok vertical burst